July 25, 2026
All-Ireland Senior Football Championship 2026 Finals Betting Picks

All-Ireland Senior Football Championship 2026 Finals Betting Picks

There is one last football match to be played in the All-Ireland Senior Football Championship 2026 tournament. What started out as a 14-team beginning in May, has been narrowed to just two teams battling it out for the right to hoist the Sam Maguire Cup. On Sunday, Kerry looks to defend their 2025 series title against Mayo.

For those who are unaware, in 1887 the Gaelic Athletic Association organized the All-Ireland Senior Football Championship competition. Counties have been competing for the Sam Maguire Cup for 140 years. If you have yet to check out a match, here is the full semi-finals match between Dublin and Kerry to give you a taste.

The All-Ireland SFC offers fast paced action and is a cross between soccer and rugby. Players can score by kicking the ball in the net for three points, kicking it over the crossbar for one point, or kicking it through the crossbar from outside the 20-meter line for two points. Games are fast-paced and exciting to watch. Sunday’s match will be no different.

All-Ireland Senior Football Championship 2026 Finals Betting Picks

Mayo (+4.5) vs. Kerry (-125 via Hard Rock)

Kerry enters this finals match -225 on the moneyline to win their second title. This makes taking the spread bet a little more profitable in this situation. Mayo is 5-0 against a +4.5 point spread in the tournament. County Mayo went 4-1 overall in the matches leading up to the finals. Its lone loss was a 22-21 defeat at the hands of Tyrone.

On the other side of the ball, Kerry also ended the tournament with a 4-1 record through the semi-finals. County Kerry went 2-3 against a -4.5 point spread in its five games so far. It has had its last two games decided by four points each. Kerry’s last match was a 32-17 dismantling of Louth. However, Mayo should be able to keep things much closer in this contest.

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Kerry vs. Mayo Under 48.5 Points (-105 via Hard Rock)

Mayo has averaged 45 combined points per match in this year’s tournament. Four of its five matches have resulted in a total of 48 points or less. County Mayo is scoring an average of 25 points while allowing just 20 to be scored against them. Its stifling defense has kept opponents below 20 points in each of its last three matches including holding unbeaten Louth to just 15 points in the semi-finals.

Kerry’s average combined points per match total 47.8, just underneath the offered threshold. County Kerry has seen all but one of its five matches fall short of the 49 point mark required to hit the over on this bet. It has scored an average of 26.4 points per match so far while giving up 21.4 to the competition. Last week, Kerry held Dublin to 20 points after it averaged 28..5 points per match heading into the contest.

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