National Rugby League Round 20 Betting Picks 2025

Round 20 of the National Rugby League begins on Thursday with a full slate of matches. With several tightly contested battles at the top of the ladder, each point from here on out will become that much more important. Only four points separate the top four teams. Four points is also the difference between the bottom seven teams.

This week, we’ll focus on Saturday’s action as there are four matches of interest to place your bets. These National Rugby League Round 20 Betting Picks 2025 cover everything from straight moneyline picks, to point totals and even a player prop.

National Rugby League Round 20 Betting Picks 2025

St. George Illawarra Dragons +10.5 vs. Canterbury Bulldogs (-120 via Hard Rock)

Canterbury enters this round tied with the Melbourne Storm for second place on the NRL ladder. The Bulldogs sit just two points behind the Canberra Raiders with a game in hand as the regular season starts to wind down. While Canterbury is 12-4 overall on the season, they are just 8-8 against the spread. They have failed to cover this spread in their last four matches.

Despite clinging to a 6-10 record this season, the Dragons are no strangers to close games. They are 9-7 against the spread this year. In fact, the Dragons have covered this spread in their last three matches. On top of that, they have only lost four matches this season by at least 11 points.

Tyrell Sloan just knows how to find the try line ☄️ pic.twitter.com/bn5nszeg1C

— NRL (@NRL) July 12, 2025

These teams met in the first round with the Bulldogs walking away with a 28-20 win This line has already moved as it opened at 9.5 with the Dragons at +100 to cover.

Manly Sea Eagles vs. Melbourne Storm: Tolutau Koula Anytime Tryscorer (+160 via DraftKings)

Koula has scored a try in 9 of 15 matches this season including four of his last five. Overall, he has scored 11 tries this year. The centre managed two successful tries the last time he faced the Storm in their Round 5 matchup. He and Reuben Garrick are tied for the most tries for Manly this season.

Over the course of this three-year career, the Sydney native has scored 32 tries in his 75 matches. This week, he will face a Melbourne team that has allowed at least three tries in four of their last five matches including their last two.

Wests Tigers -4.5 over Gold Coast Titans (-105 via DraftKings)

Not much has gone right for the Titans this year as they find themselves at the bottom of the ladder with a 4-12 record. On top of that, Gold Coast has a league-worst -156 point differential. They are 5-11 against the spread so far and have failed to cover this spread in six of their last seven matches. The Titans are scoring an average of 20 points this season while surrendering 30 points per match.

Charlie Staines beats Brandon Wakeham and Ray Vaega in the aerial contest and extends the Wests lead.

Wests lead Manly 18-4 after 45 mins#NSWCup pic.twitter.com/qZCYBR017J

— Nothing But Fainu’s (@NBWT__) June 14, 2025

Things have not been much better for the Tigers as they enter this round in the bottom four with a 6-11 record. However, they are 10-7 this season against the spread. Wests has covered this spread in three of their last five matches. They are averaging 19 points scored this season per match and are giving up only 25 defensively.

It has been over a year since these teams faced each other. That match was Wests walk away with an 18-10 win over Gold Coast.

New Zealand Warriors vs. Newcastle Knights Under 44.5 (-110 via Caesars)

Despite being ranked fourth on the ladder, the Warriors are averaging only 22 points per match this season. New Zealand has been tough on defense this year as well, conceding just 20 points per match. Overall, they have an 8-8 record against their point total.

It’s been even worse for Newcastle as they enter this round scoring an average of 14 points per match in their 2025 campaign. The Knights also have a stout defensive presence as they are allowing only 19 points per match on the year. They are 3-13-1 this season against their point total.

These teams have failed to cross the 40-point threshold in each of their last three matches going back to the 2024 season.

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